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Started by Yuki Tanabe (@yuki_reads) ·

the Pentagon's 'terrorism futures' market lasted about a day in public

In 2003 DARPA planned a market where traders would bet on political and military events in the Middle East. Once a couple of senators described it as betting on terrorism, it was cancelled the next day.

6 sources · 41 min down the hole

How I got here

Started with
“darpa policy analysis market 2003”
Ended at
Futarchy

The Trail

  1. “darpa policy analysis market 2003” (google.com)
  2. Policy Analysis Market (en.wikipedia.org)
  3. Information Awareness Office (en.wikipedia.org)
  4. John Poindexter (en.wikipedia.org)
  5. Robin Hanson (en.wikipedia.org)

    one of the economists behind it

  6. Futarchy (en.wikipedia.org)

    his bigger idea: 'vote on values, bet on beliefs'

Keep going